Apr
21
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The release of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) minutes yesterday saw Sterling weaken rapidly against the Euro; in fact, I was still reading the first word ‘minutes’ on the front page when Sterling dropped off.
The sharp drop off in Sterling was due to the MPC minutes revealing a more dovish tone from the previous meeting; [...]
Apr
20
EUR strengthens and USD weakens
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The Euro recovered some of its losses against the Dollar and Sterling yesterday with slightly better than expected PMI Manufacturing Data. There are some signs that the strong expansion seen in Germany is now about to level off, however, with Service sector PMI declining slightly in April. The Euro also strengthened due to better than [...]
Apr
19
USD and EUR concerns
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Yesterday saw sovereign debt return to the market, in both the Euro zone and the US. The S&P revised its long-term outlook on US debt from stable to negative citing, the lack of a plan in addressing the very large budget deficit means that the US is in a significantly weaker position than its ‘AAA’ [...]
Apr
15
Solid news for UK economy but GBP/EUR still low
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The Euro is subdued against the dollar and sterling this morning as the sovereign debt crisis again raises its head. Yesterday the German finance minister admitted that Greek debt may need to be restructured, despite last year’s £97bn bail out. The reason for this restructuring is that the Greek government must now pay 13% interest [...]
Apr
13
Doom and gloom as GBP/EUR struggles
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Good news! The Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell back from 4.4% in February to 4% in March as supermarkets and High Street chains cut prices. This is great news from a personal point of view as nothing attracts my eyes in a supermarket quite like a red and white sale sign. However, the drop in [...]
Apr
11
GBP weakens against EUR with EU rate rise
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It was only a couple of weeks ago that the morning note was reporting the biggest squeeze on people’s incomes since 1981. It now appears that this dire figure may have been overly optimistic, with the Centre for Economics and Business Research reporting at the weekend that household disposable income will fall this year at [...]
Apr
8
GBP/EUR steady but USD falls
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As expected, the Bank of England kept rates on hold at 0.5% for another month, with spiralling UK inflation not enough to convince the MPC to change direction. As ever, it won’t be until the minutes are released in a couple of weeks that we see how each member voted with the previous meeting voting [...]
Apr
6
Some positive news for GBP sees it move higher vs USD
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There was an unexpected piece of good news with yesterday’s services PMI surging to a 13 month high of 57.1 in March from 52.6 in February – with anything above 50 indicating growth. This 4.5 point rise in the index is the second biggest increase since the survey started in 1996, only exceeded in January [...]

